Mainz 05 II 2-1 Göppinger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-8.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.4pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Göppinger SV EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
2.29/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.66
+7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
441 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 II vs Göppinger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 II edged past Göppinger SV 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mainz 05 II as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs Göppinger SV?

Mainz 05 II 2-1 Göppinger SV in the Germany - Regional League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs Göppinger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 57%, draw 22%, Göppinger SV 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05 II), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mainz 05 II) ✓ Over 2.5
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