Dinamo Minsk 2-0 FC Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
54%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.9
Over
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.32
2-3
40%
1.78
4-5
23%
3.56
6+
11%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.32 — our 26% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Dinamo Minsk win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.2pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.9pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.50/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.89
-21% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Minsk
4W-2D-0L
AWAY FC Minsk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 FC Minsk FC Minsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
21.10.2023 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
27.05.2023 FC Minsk FC Minsk 1-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
07.08.2022 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 3-1 HT 0-1 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
18.03.2022 FC Minsk FC Minsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
28.08.2021 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Minsk
2-0
AWAY FC Minsk
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Dinamo Minsk vs FC Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Minsk got the better of FC Minsk 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Minsk as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Dinamo Minsk had 50% of the ball to FC Minsk's 50%, shots finished 17-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Minsk had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dinamo Minsk and 0.33 for FC Minsk.

What was the final score of Dinamo Minsk vs FC Minsk?

Dinamo Minsk 2-0 FC Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Minsk vs FC Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Minsk 54%, draw 27%, FC Minsk 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Minsk), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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