Larne FC 2-0 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.18
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.51
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
13%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1.35
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
33.0
X/1
18%
3.19
X/2
5%
30.5
X/X
6%
8.7
2/1
5%
28.0
2/2
4%
26.5
2/X
6%
33.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
79%
-8.9pp
16%
Draw
15%
+1.3pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.8pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 9%
-11% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.54/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.42
-5% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
446 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 160 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Loughgall FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
22.12.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
26.09.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
18.08.2015 Larne FC Larne FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRLK
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC saw off Loughgall FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Larne FC and 0.50 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Loughgall FC?

Larne FC 2-0 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 70%, draw 16%, Loughgall FC 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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