Esenler Erokspor 2-1 Yeni Malatyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
54%
1.43
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
24%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
39%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Esenler Erokspor win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
66%
-11.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.7pp
24%
Away Win
12%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esenler Erokspor The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeni Malatyaspor The Market 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
Crosses 8.8
Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esenler Erokspor
2-1
AWAY Yeni Malatyaspor
2.81 xG 0.43
53% Ball Possession 47%
24 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 1
363 Passes 326
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 7
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Esenler Erokspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esenler Erokspor edged past Yeni Malatyaspor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Esenler Erokspor as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 53% of the ball to Yeni Malatyaspor's 47%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 2.81 to 0.43 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Esenler Erokspor's control.

What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?

Esenler Erokspor 2-1 Yeni Malatyaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esenler Erokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 54%, draw 22%, Yeni Malatyaspor 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) ✗ BTTS No
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