Esenler Erokspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Esenler Erokspor v Yeni Malatyaspor — Team-Based Signals
Esenler Erokspor 2-1 Yeni Malatyaspor — Actual Match Statistics
Esenler Erokspor edged past Yeni Malatyaspor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Esenler Erokspor as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 53% of the ball to Yeni Malatyaspor's 47%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 2.81 to 0.43 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Esenler Erokspor's control.
What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?
Esenler Erokspor 2-1 Yeni Malatyaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Esenler Erokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 54%, draw 22%, Yeni Malatyaspor 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) — while BTTS No went the other way.