Benfica U23 3-1 Mafra U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-9.7pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.6pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 18%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
5.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/0.86
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +131%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
488 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
3-1
AWAY Mafra U23
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Mafra U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 saw off Mafra U23 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benfica U23 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 54% of the ball to Mafra U23's 46%, shots finished 19-13.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Mafra U23?

Benfica U23 3-1 Mafra U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Mafra U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 57%, draw 19%, Mafra U23 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U23), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✓ Over 2.5
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