Hamilton 3-1 St. Mirren II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.37
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
5.31
2-3 Goals
43%
1.97
4-5 Goals
29%
2.52
6+ Goals
12%
5.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
69%
-1.8pp
16%
Draw
19%
-2.2pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+3.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren II EU Bookmakers 16%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.04/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/3.06
-26% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -16%
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
407 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs St. Mirren II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton beat St. Mirren II 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hamilton as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs St. Mirren II?

Hamilton 3-1 St. Mirren II in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs St. Mirren II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 67%, draw 16%, St. Mirren II 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamilton), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamilton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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