Como 3-0 Sassuolo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 24 Sep 2025

Como
3 - 0 HT 3 - 0
Sassuolo
📅24/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
13%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.07
Over
57%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.84
No
48%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.8
2-3
45%
1.81
4-5
26%
3.04
6+
8%
9.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.8
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
4%
16.55
X/1
22%
3.92
X/2
5%
12.4
X/X
11%
6.18
2/1
4%
21.5
2/2
6%
10.25
2/X
4%
18.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.5 — our 4% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Como The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo The Market 19%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
2.62 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.01
0.79 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.00
Great Attack Strength Great
Defense Strength Great
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
408 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
Crosses 10
Yellow Cards 4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como
3 - 0
AWAY Sassuolo
1.80 xG 0.57
71% Ball Possession 29%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
598 Passes 193
89% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Como vs Sassuolo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Como dismantled Sassuolo 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Como as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (57%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 71% to 29% in Como's favour, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.80 to 0.57.

Como vs Sassuolo Result & Final Score

Como 3 - 0 Sassuolo in the Italy - Cup on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Como vs Sassuolo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Como win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Como 68%, draw 19%, Sassuolo 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Como), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Como) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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