Groene Ster 1-1 Genemuiden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.4pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Groene Ster EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Genemuiden EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Groene Ster
1-1
AWAY Genemuiden
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Groene Ster vs Genemuiden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Groene Ster and Genemuiden shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Groene Ster had 48% of the ball to Genemuiden's 52%, shots finished 17-11.

What was the final score of Groene Ster vs Genemuiden?

Groene Ster 1-1 Genemuiden in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Groene Ster vs Genemuiden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Groene Ster win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Groene Ster 38%, draw 24%, Genemuiden 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →