ENPPI 1-0 Ismaily — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.38
Over 2.5
38%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.53
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
1.87
2-3 Goals
32%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
6.41
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.3pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.0pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
69%
-6.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
31%
+6.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.0pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ENPPI EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Ismaily EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.14/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.10
-16% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
20.0 Crosses 11.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ENPPI
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ismaily
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.84 xG 0.99
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
199 Passes 330
65% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.06.2025 Ismaily Ismaily 2-0 HT 0-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSRLK
07.05.2025 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
16.01.2025 ENPPI ENPPI 1-0 HT 1-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSRK
01.12.2024 ENPPI ENPPI 1-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
17.06.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 2-2 HT 1-1 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
16.12.2023 ENPPI ENPPI 1-0 HT 1-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ENPPI
1-0
AWAY Ismaily
2.32 xG 0.30
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
348 Passes 164
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ENPPI vs Ismaily
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ENPPI edged past Ismaily 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ENPPI as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, ENPPI had 62% of the ball to Ismaily's 38%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 2.32 to 0.30 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold ENPPI's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ENPPI had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ENPPI and 0.67 for Ismaily.

What was the final score of ENPPI vs Ismaily?

ENPPI 1-0 Ismaily in the Egypt - Premier League on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ENPPI vs Ismaily?

Before kick-off our model rated a ENPPI win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split ENPPI 42%, draw 34%, Ismaily 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ENPPI), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ENPPI) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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