Pavlovskaya 2-2 Volga Ulyanovsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.78
Over
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
40%
4-5
17%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
23%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.2pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.3pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-4.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.0pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pavlovskaya The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Volga Ulyanovsk The Market 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -64%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
322 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Pavlovskaya vs Volga Ulyanovsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pavlovskaya and Volga Ulyanovsk couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Pavlovskaya vs Volga Ulyanovsk?

Pavlovskaya 2-2 Volga Ulyanovsk in the Russia - Cup on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pavlovskaya vs Volga Ulyanovsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pavlovskaya win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Pavlovskaya 36%, draw 33%, Volga Ulyanovsk 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pavlovskaya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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