Sierra Leone vs Zimbabve Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sierra Leone v Zimbabve — Team-Based Signals
Sierra Leone 2-3 Zimbabve — Actual Match Statistics
Zimbabve came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Sierra Leone 3-2 away from home. The 2-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 30% — and on the day Zimbabve made the difference. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Sierra Leone had 44% of the ball to Zimbabve's 56%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.10 to 0.98.
Sierra Leone vs Zimbabve Result & Final Score
Sierra Leone 2 - 3 Zimbabve in the Africa Cup of Nations on 24/09/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sierra Leone vs Zimbabve Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sierra Leone win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sierra Leone 37%, draw 33%, Zimbabve 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.