Thai Port FC 1-0 Zhejiang G. FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.21
Over 2.5
43%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.39
2-3 Goals
45%
1.88
4-5 Goals
18%
2.94
6+ Goals
9%
8.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.39 — our 28% vs market 17.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-10.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.3pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
41%
+15.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
59%
-15.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thai Port FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.08.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC AŞMP
POST-MATCH Thai Port FC vs Zhejiang G. FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thai Port FC edged past Zhejiang G. FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 30%) promised a tight game; Thai Port FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Thai Port FC vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Thai Port FC 1-0 Zhejiang G. FC in the AFCŞL2 on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thai Port FC vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Thai Port FC 40%, draw 29%, Zhejiang G. FC 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thai Port FC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thai Port FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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