Estonya (K) 2-2 Litvanya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — BALTIKK, 24 Oct 2024

Estonya (K)
2-2
Litvanya (K)
📅24/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
BALTIKK – 2024

Estonya (K) vs Litvanya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.18
6+ Goals
10%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estonya (K) v Litvanya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estonya (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Litvanya (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Estonya (K) vs Litvanya (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estonya (K)
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Litvanya (K)
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
The Meetings
28.02.2019 Litvanya (K) Litvanya (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Estonya (K) Estonya (K) HAZ
31.08.2018 Estonya (K) Estonya (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Litvanya (K) Litvanya (K) HAZ
04.08.2017 Litvanya (K) Litvanya (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Estonya (K) Estonya (K) HAZ
26.02.2015 Estonya (K) Estonya (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Litvanya (K) Litvanya (K) HAZ
25.02.2015 Estonya (K) Estonya (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Litvanya (K) Litvanya (K) HAZ
POST-MATCH Estonya (K) vs Litvanya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estonya (K) and Litvanya (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Estonya (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Estonya (K) and 0.00 for Litvanya (K).

What was the final score of Estonya (K) vs Litvanya (K)?

Estonya (K) 2-2 Litvanya (K) in the BALTIKK on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estonya (K) vs Litvanya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Estonya (K) 39%, draw 29%, Litvanya (K) 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estonya (K)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estonya (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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