Independiente Petrolero 2-2 Royal Pari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 24 Oct 2024

Independiente Petrolero
2-2 HT 1-2
Royal Pari
📅24/10/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Independiente Petrolero vs Royal Pari Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Independiente Petrolero v Royal Pari — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Pari EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +22%
1.59/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.28
-4% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 71%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
22.7 Crosses 14.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Independiente Petrolero vs Royal Pari Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Royal Pari
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.70 xG 1.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
243 Passes 360
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.05.2024 Royal Pari Royal Pari 2-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
10.07.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 4-2 HT 0-0 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
07.02.2023 Royal Pari Royal Pari 2-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
11.09.2022 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 3-0 HT 2-0 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
22.05.2022 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-0 HT 0-0 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
09.04.2022 Royal Pari Royal Pari 5-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ

Independiente Petrolero 2-2 Royal Pari — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
2-2
AWAY Royal Pari
2.45 xG 1.28
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
255 Passes 167
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 7
14 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Royal Pari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero and Royal Pari couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente Petrolero at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 57% of the ball to Royal Pari's 43%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 2.45 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 1.83 for Royal Pari.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Royal Pari?

Independiente Petrolero 2-2 Royal Pari in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Royal Pari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 48%, draw 24%, Royal Pari 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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