Mes Soongoun 0-2 Naft Bandar Abbas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.6
Over 2.5
30%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
1.96
No
68%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
47%
2.49
2-3 Goals
32%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
4.78
6+ Goals
6%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 47% vs market 33.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.7pp
35%
Draw
28%
+6.3pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.6pp
70%
Under 2.5
59%
+11.0pp
30%
Over 2.5
41%
-11.0pp
32%
BTTS Yes
47%
-14.8pp
68%
BTTS No
53%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Soongoun EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Bandar Abbas EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
1.29/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+8% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Mes Soongoun vs Naft Bandar Abbas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Bandar Abbas beat Mes Soongoun 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 35% / 27% — and on the day Naft Bandar Abbas made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (68%) came in.

What was the final score of Mes Soongoun vs Naft Bandar Abbas?

Mes Soongoun 0-2 Naft Bandar Abbas in the Iran - Azadegan League on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Soongoun vs Naft Bandar Abbas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mes Soongoun win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mes Soongoun 38%, draw 35%, Naft Bandar Abbas 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mes Soongoun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mes Soongoun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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