UPDF 0-0 URA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 24 Oct 2024

UPDF
0-0 HT 0-0
URA
📅24/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UPDF EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY URA EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.98/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.40
-12% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UPDF
0W-0D-1L
AWAY URA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
29.10.2021 URA URA 3-1 HT 0-1 UPDF UPDF UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UPDF
0-0
AWAY URA
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UPDF vs URA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UPDF and URA played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, UPDF had 53% of the ball to URA's 47%, shots finished 7-4.

What was the final score of UPDF vs URA?

UPDF 0-0 URA in the Uganda - Premier League on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UPDF vs URA?

Before kick-off our model rated an URA win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split UPDF 36%, draw 26%, URA 38%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (URA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (URA) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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