Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-2 Hartford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 24 Oct 2024

Tampa Bay Rowdies
2-2 HT 1-2
Hartford Athletic
📅24/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.09
6+ Goals
12%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 28% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tampa Bay Rowdies v Hartford Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.75/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.82
+2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
21.0 Crosses 16.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Hartford Athletic
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.35 xG 1.07
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
411 Passes 344
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.06.2024 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
28.09.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 0-2 HT 0-2 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
03.09.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1 HT 1-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
10.07.2022 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 2-3 HT 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
27.03.2022 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-1 HT 1-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
26.09.2021 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 1-2 HT 0-2 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP

Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-2 Hartford Athletic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
2-2
AWAY Hartford Athletic
1.16 xG 0.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
312 Passes 343
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tampa Bay Rowdies and Hartford Athletic shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Tampa Bay Rowdies at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 48% of the ball to Hartford Athletic's 52%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.16 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.83 for Hartford Athletic.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic?

Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-2 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 48%, draw 27%, Hartford Athletic 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies)
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