Merida AD 0-0 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 24 Oct 2025

Merida AD
0-0 HT 0-0
Ponferradina
📅24/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2025/2026

Merida AD vs Ponferradina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.89
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Merida AD v Ponferradina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merida AD EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.55/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.98
+13% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
410 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 9.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Merida AD 0-0 Ponferradina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
0-0
AWAY Ponferradina
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Merida AD vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD and Ponferradina fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Merida AD at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Merida AD had 53% of the ball to Ponferradina's 47%, shots finished 6-3.

What was the final score of Merida AD vs Ponferradina?

Merida AD 0-0 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 45%, draw 26%, Ponferradina 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Merida AD), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Merida AD) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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