Macaristan (K) 4-0 Lüksemburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Oct 2025

Macaristan (K)
4-0
Lüksemburg (K)
📅24/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

Macaristan (K) vs Lüksemburg (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.16
Draw
13%
7.13
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.51
Over 2.5
64%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.6
No
45%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.09
2-3 Goals
36%
1.94
4-5 Goals
31%
2.57
6+ Goals
13%
6.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
82%
-5.5pp
13%
Draw
11%
+1.7pp
11%
Away Win
7%
+3.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
36%
-0.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
64%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
34%
+20.4pp
45%
BTTS No
66%
-20.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Macaristan (K) v Lüksemburg (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macaristan (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Lüksemburg (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+60% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
493 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Macaristan (K) 4-0 Lüksemburg (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macaristan (K)
4-0
AWAY Lüksemburg (K)
3.98 xG 0.08
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 1
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Macaristan (K) vs Lüksemburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macaristan (K) swept aside Lüksemburg (K) 4-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Macaristan (K) as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Macaristan (K) had 55% of the ball to Lüksemburg (K)'s 45%, shots finished 11-1, expected goals 3.98 to 0.08.

What was the final score of Macaristan (K) vs Lüksemburg (K)?

Macaristan (K) 4-0 Lüksemburg (K) in the Friendlies on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macaristan (K) vs Lüksemburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macaristan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Macaristan (K) 76%, draw 13%, Lüksemburg (K) 11%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macaristan (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Macaristan (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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