El Mansura 3-1 Derot — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.7pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.1pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Mansura EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Derot EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.58/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.88
-39% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
240 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Mansura
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Derot
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 El Mansura El Mansura 0-0 HT 0-0 Derot Derot MSR2
16.12.2024 Derot Derot 0-1 HT 0-1 El Mansura El Mansura MSR2
POST-MATCH El Mansura vs Derot
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Mansura saw off Derot 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 30% — and on the day El Mansura made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, El Mansura had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for El Mansura and 0.00 for Derot.

What was the final score of El Mansura vs Derot?

El Mansura 3-1 Derot in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Mansura vs Derot?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Mansura win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split El Mansura 38%, draw 33%, Derot 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Mansura) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (El Mansura) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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