IFK Varnamo 1-0 Landskrona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.97
6+ Goals
10%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 30% vs market 27.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.0
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.1
X/1
23%
3.63
X/2
9%
11.65
X/X
11%
4.98
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
5%
10.05
2/X
6%
18.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Landskrona EU Bookmakers 20%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.32/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.27
-34% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.6 Crosses
0.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Landskrona
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 1.61
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
281 Passes 445
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2024 Landskrona Landskrona 2-2 HT 0-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
21.08.2021 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-0 HT 0-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
10.04.2021 Landskrona Landskrona 2-0 HT 1-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
15.11.2020 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ3
27.06.2020 Landskrona Landskrona 1-4 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ3
06.08.2018 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-1 HT 1-1 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
1-0
AWAY Landskrona
1.57 xG 0.48
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
403 Passes 497
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
27 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs Landskrona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Varnamo edged past Landskrona 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had IFK Varnamo as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 45% of the ball to Landskrona's 55%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.57 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Varnamo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for IFK Varnamo and 1.00 for Landskrona.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Landskrona?

IFK Varnamo 1-0 Landskrona in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Landskrona?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Varnamo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 56%, draw 25%, Landskrona 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Varnamo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IFK Varnamo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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