Nueva Chicago 2-1 San Martin San Juan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.36
Over 2.5
39%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.51
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.4pp
33%
Draw
33%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
70%
-8.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
30%
+8.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.6pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +14%
1.08/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.06
-6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
259 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nueva Chicago
1W-3D-2L
AWAY San Martin San Juan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
200 Passes 192
61% Pass Accuracy 59%
16.08.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
06.04.2023 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 0-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
21.05.2022 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 3-1 HT 1-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
16.11.2019 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-0 HT 1-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
27.07.2015 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
01.11.2014 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-0 HT 1-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Nueva Chicago vs San Martin San Juan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Chicago squeezed past San Martin San Juan 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 31% — and on the day Nueva Chicago made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Martin San Juan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nueva Chicago and 0.67 for San Martin San Juan.

What was the final score of Nueva Chicago vs San Martin San Juan?

Nueva Chicago 2-1 San Martin San Juan in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Chicago vs San Martin San Juan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nueva Chicago win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nueva Chicago 36%, draw 33%, San Martin San Juan 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nueva Chicago) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nueva Chicago) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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