Sydney (K) 1-1 Melbourne City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 24 Nov 2024

Sydney (K)
1-1 HT 1-1
Melbourne City (K)
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒08:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Sydney (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.97
Over 2.5
59%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
28%
X/X
20%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
47%
-5.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
53%
+5.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sydney (K) v Melbourne City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -29%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
– Crosses 7.6
– Yellow Cards 1.6

Sydney (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney (K)
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.34 xG 1.53
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
228 Passes 360
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
08.12.2019 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
31.01.2019 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
02.11.2018 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 3-1 HT 1-1 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
18.02.2018 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW

Sydney (K) 1-1 Melbourne City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney (K)
1-1
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
0.79 xG 0.46
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
271 Passes 295
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sydney (K) vs Melbourne City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney (K) and Melbourne City (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Sydney (K) had 48% of the ball to Melbourne City (K)'s 52%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.79 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Melbourne City (K) led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Sydney (K) and 1.80 for Melbourne City (K).

What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Sydney (K) 1-1 Melbourne City (K) in the Australia - W-League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 31%, draw 29%, Melbourne City (K) 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melbourne City (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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