Al Shabab Manama 0-2 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.62
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
3.4
6+ Goals
12%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 25% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 38%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.05/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.31
-31% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -8%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
267 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Manama
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Najma
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
28.09.2023 Al Najma Al Najma 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
15.12.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAHK
08.08.2020 Al Najma Al Najma 4-1 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Manama
0-2
AWAY Al Najma
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Manama vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma got the better of Al Shabab Manama 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Al Najma found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Shabab Manama had 46% of the ball to Al Najma's 54%, shots finished 4-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Najma led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Shabab Manama and 2.25 for Al Najma.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Manama vs Al Najma?

Al Shabab Manama 0-2 Al Najma in the Bahrain - Premier League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Manama vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Manama 40%, draw 25%, Al Najma 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Shabab Manama) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shabab Manama) ✓ Under 2.5
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