SV Zulte Waregem 5-1 RFC Seraing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.1
Over 2.5
41%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
20%
3.13
6+ Goals
9%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 29% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-14.3pp
28%
Draw
20%
+8.3pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
44%
+15.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
56%
-15.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 17%
-25% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.47/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.76
-36% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
24.1 Crosses 13.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
4W-1D-1L
AWAY RFC Seraing
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.41 xG 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 Passes 315
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2023 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 2-1 HT 0-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
25.08.2023 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 0-5 HT 0-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL2
18.02.2023 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-1 HT 0-1 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
23.07.2022 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 2-0 HT 0-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL
27.02.2022 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-0 HT 1-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL
03.10.2021 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 5-1 HT 2-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
5-1
AWAY RFC Seraing
5.49 xG 1.38
57% Ball Possession 43%
25 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
465 Passes 311
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
42 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SV Zulte Waregem vs RFC Seraing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Zulte Waregem cruised past RFC Seraing 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SV Zulte Waregem as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SV Zulte Waregem had 57% of the ball to RFC Seraing's 43%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 5.49 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SV Zulte Waregem had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for SV Zulte Waregem and 1.17 for RFC Seraing.

What was the final score of SV Zulte Waregem vs RFC Seraing?

SV Zulte Waregem 5-1 RFC Seraing in the Belgium - 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Zulte Waregem vs RFC Seraing?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Zulte Waregem win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split SV Zulte Waregem 52%, draw 28%, RFC Seraing 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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