Chabab Mohammedia 1-4 Difaa El Jadida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
49%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.47
6+ Goals
9%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 33% vs market 31.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+4.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
49%
Away Win
57%
-7.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chabab Mohammedia EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Difaa El Jadida EU Bookmakers 61%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-40% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chabab Mohammedia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Difaa El Jadida
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2023 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 2-1 HT 1-0 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida FAS
16.09.2022 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida 1-0 HT 0-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
19.02.2022 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida 0-0 HT 0-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
25.09.2021 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 1-2 HT 0-1 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida FAS
04.07.2021 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 2-0 HT 1-0 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida FAS
03.04.2021 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida 0-0 HT 0-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chabab Mohammedia
1-4
AWAY Difaa El Jadida
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Chabab Mohammedia vs Difaa El Jadida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Difaa El Jadida cruised past Chabab Mohammedia 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Difaa El Jadida as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chabab Mohammedia had 46% of the ball to Difaa El Jadida's 54%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chabab Mohammedia and 0.67 for Difaa El Jadida.

What was the final score of Chabab Mohammedia vs Difaa El Jadida?

Chabab Mohammedia 1-4 Difaa El Jadida in the Morocco - League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chabab Mohammedia vs Difaa El Jadida?

Before kick-off our model rated an Difaa El Jadida win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chabab Mohammedia 22%, draw 28%, Difaa El Jadida 49%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Difaa El Jadida) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Difaa El Jadida) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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