AZ (K) 1-0 Heerenveen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 24 Nov 2024

AZ (K)
1-0 HT 0-0
Heerenveen (K)
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2024/2025

AZ (K) vs Heerenveen (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.47
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
64%
-2.6pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.5pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AZ (K) v Heerenveen (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ (K) EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.44
+120% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.0 Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

AZ (K) 1-0 Heerenveen (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ (K)
1-0
AWAY Heerenveen (K)
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
297 Passes 247
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AZ (K) vs Heerenveen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ (K) nicked a narrow win over Heerenveen (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AZ (K) as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, AZ (K) had 52% of the ball to Heerenveen (K)'s 48%, shots finished 17-7.

What was the final score of AZ (K) vs Heerenveen (K)?

AZ (K) 1-0 Heerenveen (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ (K) vs Heerenveen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split AZ (K) 61%, draw 20%, Heerenveen (K) 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ (K)) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AZ (K)) ✗ Over 2.5
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