Zob Ahan 1-0 Havadar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Cup, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.19
No
68%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
47%
2.12
2-3 Goals
33%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
6.19
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.12 — our 47% vs market 40.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.9pp
32%
BTTS Yes
42%
-9.2pp
68%
BTTS No
58%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zob Ahan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Havadar EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zob Ahan
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Havadar
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2 Corners 5
23.08.2024 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 0-0 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
07.03.2024 Havadar Havadar 2-2 HT 0-1 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
30.08.2023 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 0-0 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
04.01.2023 Havadar Havadar 1-0 HT 1-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
04.05.2022 Havadar Havadar 1-0 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
15.12.2021 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 0-1 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
POST-MATCH Zob Ahan vs Havadar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zob Ahan edged past Havadar 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Zob Ahan made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (68%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Havadar led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Zob Ahan and 0.83 for Havadar.

What was the final score of Zob Ahan vs Havadar?

Zob Ahan 1-0 Havadar in the Iran - Cup on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zob Ahan vs Havadar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zob Ahan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Zob Ahan 38%, draw 30%, Havadar 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zob Ahan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zob Ahan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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