Ajka 0-1 BVSC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 24 Nov 2024

Ajka
0-1 HT 0-0
BVSC
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY BVSC EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.18/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.03
-11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajka
1W-0D-1L
AWAY BVSC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 BVSC BVSC 0-2 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
01.10.2023 Ajka Ajka 0-1 HT 0-1 BVSC BVSC MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajka
0-1
AWAY BVSC
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ajka vs BVSC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BVSC squeezed past Ajka 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; BVSC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ajka had 52% of the ball to BVSC's 48%, shots finished 17-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ajka and 0.50 for BVSC.

What was the final score of Ajka vs BVSC?

Ajka 0-1 BVSC in the Hungary - NB II on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs BVSC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajka win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ajka 38%, draw 31%, BVSC 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ajka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajka) ✓ Under 2.5
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