Ismaily 1-0 Petrojet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.18
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
39%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.52
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
4.83
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
42%
-11.1pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.9pp
39%
Away Win
27%
+12.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ismaily EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrojet EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.24/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.22
+2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.1 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ismaily
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Petrojet
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
12.03.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 0-0 HT 0-0 Petrojet Petrojet MSRK
01.10.2014 Ismaily Ismaily 2-1 HT 0-1 Petrojet Petrojet MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ismaily
1-0
AWAY Petrojet
0.64 xG 1.22
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
334 Passes 137
71% Pass Accuracy 60%
17 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ismaily vs Petrojet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ismaily squeezed past Petrojet 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Ismaily found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ismaily had 61% of the ball to Petrojet's 39%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.64 to 1.22 — on chances, Petrojet could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ismaily had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ismaily and 0.50 for Petrojet.

What was the final score of Ismaily vs Petrojet?

Ismaily 1-0 Petrojet in the Egypt - Premier League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ismaily vs Petrojet?

Before kick-off our model rated an Petrojet win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ismaily 31%, draw 30%, Petrojet 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Petrojet) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Petrojet) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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