Mjondalen 2-1 Jerv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.69
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.47
6+ Goals
8%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Jerv EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.37/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/2.23
-30% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjondalen
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Jerv
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
23.08.2023 Mjondalen Mjondalen 2-2 HT 1-2 Jerv Jerv NOR1
03.05.2023 Jerv Jerv 2-3 HT 0-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
21.10.2018 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-1 HT 0-1 Jerv Jerv NOR1
22.04.2018 Jerv Jerv 0-0 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
01.10.2017 Jerv Jerv 0-1 HT 0-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
18.04.2017 Mjondalen Mjondalen 3-0 HT 2-0 Jerv Jerv NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjondalen
2-1
AWAY Jerv
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mjondalen vs Jerv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjondalen squeezed past Jerv 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mjondalen as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mjondalen had 60% of the ball to Jerv's 40%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjondalen had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mjondalen and 0.83 for Jerv.

What was the final score of Mjondalen vs Jerv?

Mjondalen 2-1 Jerv in the Norway - 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjondalen vs Jerv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjondalen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mjondalen 47%, draw 28%, Jerv 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjondalen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mjondalen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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