Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 2-1 Efeler 09 Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+9.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.3pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Efeler 09 Spor EU Bookmakers 23%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.28/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.00
+53% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +38%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor
2-1
AWAY Efeler 09 Spor
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs Efeler 09 Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor squeezed past Efeler 09 Spor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor had 66% of the ball to Efeler 09 Spor's 34%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs Efeler 09 Spor?

Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 2-1 Efeler 09 Spor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs Efeler 09 Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 44%, draw 26%, Efeler 09 Spor 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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