Damac FC 2-1 Al Kholood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒16:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.75
No
60%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.77
6+ Goals
8%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 33% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-4.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
53%
-13.2pp
60%
BTTS No
47%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Damac FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.51/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.88
-3% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +104%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
329 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
19.4 Crosses 8.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Damac FC
2-1
AWAY Al Kholood
1.16 xG 0.49
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
259 Passes 328
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Damac FC vs Al Kholood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Damac FC edged past Al Kholood 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Damac FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Damac FC had 46% of the ball to Al Kholood's 54%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.16 to 0.49.

What was the final score of Damac FC vs Al Kholood?

Damac FC 2-1 Al Kholood in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Damac FC vs Al Kholood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Damac FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Damac FC 46%, draw 27%, Al Kholood 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Damac FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Damac FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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