Kırklarelispor 4-1 GMG Kastamonuspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
21%
2.94
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.09
No
65%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
18%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+7.2pp
21%
Draw
30%
-9.0pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.2pp
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
-9.2pp
65%
BTTS No
56%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kırklarelispor EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.76
-10% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kırklarelispor
1W-2D-0L
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
30.04.2023 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kırklarelispor Kırklarelispor T2L-K
27.11.2022 Kırklarelispor Kırklarelispor 3-0 HT 0-0 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor T2L-K
23.12.2020 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Kırklarelispor Kırklarelispor T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kırklarelispor
4-1
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kırklarelispor vs GMG Kastamonuspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kırklarelispor ran out comfortable winners over GMG Kastamonuspor 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was GMG Kastamonuspor at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kırklarelispor had 43% of the ball to GMG Kastamonuspor's 57%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kırklarelispor had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kırklarelispor and 0.67 for GMG Kastamonuspor.

What was the final score of Kırklarelispor vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Kırklarelispor 4-1 GMG Kastamonuspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kırklarelispor vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an GMG Kastamonuspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kırklarelispor 36%, draw 21%, GMG Kastamonuspor 43%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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