Karacabey Belediye Spor 3-0 Nazilli Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.32
Draw
28%
4.81
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
71%
-18.7pp
28%
Draw
18%
+10.1pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 14%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.68/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.88
+42% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
357 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 3-0 HT 1-0 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor S2-B
01.05.2022 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 0-2 HT 0-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor T2L-K
18.12.2021 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 0-2 HT 0-1 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor S2-B
31.03.2011 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 4-2 HT 1-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor S3-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
3-0
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor
37% Ball Possession 63%
18 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Nazilli Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karacabey Belediye Spor cruised past Nazilli Belediyespor 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Karacabey Belediye Spor as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Karacabey Belediye Spor had 37% of the ball to Nazilli Belediyespor's 63%, shots finished 18-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Karacabey Belediye Spor and 1.50 for Nazilli Belediyespor.

What was the final score of Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Karacabey Belediye Spor 3-0 Nazilli Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karacabey Belediye Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Karacabey Belediye Spor 53%, draw 28%, Nazilli Belediyespor 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) ✓ Over 2.5
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