24/11/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
EM Mahdia vs Hammam-Lif Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
34%
Draw
30%
23%
Away Win
21%
58%
Under 2.5
69%
42%
Over 2.5
31%
48%
BTTS Yes
36%
52%
BTTS No
64%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
EM Mahdia v Hammam-Lif — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
EM Mahdia
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Hammam-Lif
EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% /
-6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-33% /
-33%
0.99/0.31
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.46/2.54
-24%
/
+105%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-39%
/
-54%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
15
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
308 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
251 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.3
Yellow Cards
2.0
EM Mahdia vs Hammam-Lif Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
EM Mahdia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Hammam-Lif
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
25.12.2022
Hammam-Lif
2-1
HT 2-0
EM Mahdia
TUN2
2-1
HT 2-0
EM Mahdia
TUN2
POST-MATCH
EM Mahdia vs Hammam-Lif
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
EM Mahdia squeezed past Hammam-Lif 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had EM Mahdia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of EM Mahdia vs Hammam-Lif?
EM Mahdia 2-1 Hammam-Lif in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for EM Mahdia vs Hammam-Lif?
Before kick-off our model rated a EM Mahdia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split EM Mahdia 44%, draw 34%, Hammam-Lif 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (EM Mahdia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (EM Mahdia)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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TUN2
More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
24 Nov 2024