Auckland City 5-1 Coastal Spirit — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.3
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
25%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
2.96
Over Pick
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.68
No
40%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
36%
4-5
31%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
72%
-18.6pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.1pp
25%
Away Win
12%
+13.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.8pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.8pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auckland City EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Coastal Spirit EU Bookmakers 15%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-27% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
385 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auckland City
5-1
AWAY Coastal Spirit
60% Ball Possession 40%
25 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Auckland City vs Coastal Spirit
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auckland City ran out comfortable winners over Coastal Spirit 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Auckland City as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Auckland City had 60% of the ball to Coastal Spirit's 40%, shots finished 25-8.

What was the final score of Auckland City vs Coastal Spirit?

Auckland City 5-1 Coastal Spirit in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auckland City vs Coastal Spirit?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auckland City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Auckland City 54%, draw 21%, Coastal Spirit 25%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auckland City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Auckland City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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