AE Larissa 1-2 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 24 Nov 2025

AE Larissa
1-2 HT 1-2
OFI
📅24/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2025/2026

AE Larissa vs OFI Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
15.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.2
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
18%
5.14
X/2
14%
6.74
X/X
15%
4.37
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
27.5
2/2
16%
4.89
2/X
6%
13.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.6pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AE Larissa v OFI — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.10/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.17
-5% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
18.3 Crosses 16.1
3.9 Yellow Cards 3.2

AE Larissa vs OFI Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AE Larissa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY OFI
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.69 xG 0.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
265 Passes 293
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
12 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.04.2021 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-1 HT 0-1 OFI OFI YUN
06.03.2021 OFI OFI 2-3 HT 1-1 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
12.12.2020 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-1 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
01.02.2020 OFI OFI 0-0 HT 0-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
03.11.2019 AE Larissa AE Larissa 3-2 HT 1-2 OFI OFI YUN
03.03.2019 OFI OFI 0-0 HT 0-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN

AE Larissa 1-2 OFI — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AE Larissa
1-2
AWAY OFI
1.38 xG 1.18
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
333 Passes 283
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 10
35 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AE Larissa vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI edged past AE Larissa 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day OFI made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, AE Larissa had 54% of the ball to OFI's 46%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.38 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AE Larissa and 1.00 for OFI.

What was the final score of AE Larissa vs OFI?

AE Larissa 1-2 OFI in the Greece - Super League on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AE Larissa vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated a AE Larissa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AE Larissa 38%, draw 27%, OFI 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AE Larissa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AE Larissa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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