Rosengard (K) 2-2 SL Benfica (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 25 Jan 2024

Rosengard (K)
2-2 HT 1-0
SL Benfica (K)
📅25/01/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Champions League - Women's – 2025/2026

Rosengard (K) vs SL Benfica (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
47%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.1
Over
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
50%
4-5
19%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+6.2pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.1pp
47%
Away Win
60%
-13.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.3pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rosengard (K) v SL Benfica (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosengard (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY SL Benfica (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-40% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
236 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 82%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.0 Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Rosengard (K) vs SL Benfica (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosengard (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY SL Benfica (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.52 xG 2.03
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
286 Passes 388
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 40
12 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.11.2023 SL Benfica (K) SL Benfica (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Rosengard (K) Rosengard (K) ŞMP-K
07.12.2022 Rosengard (K) Rosengard (K) 1-3 HT 1-2 SL Benfica (K) SL Benfica (K) ŞMP-K
24.11.2022 SL Benfica (K) SL Benfica (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Rosengard (K) Rosengard (K) ŞMP-K

Rosengard (K) 2-2 SL Benfica (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosengard (K)
2-2
AWAY SL Benfica (K)
1.04 xG 2.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
336 Passes 409
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rosengard (K) vs SL Benfica (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosengard (K) and SL Benfica (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was SL Benfica (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Rosengard (K) had 47% of the ball to SL Benfica (K)'s 53%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.04 to 2.06.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, SL Benfica (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Rosengard (K) and 1.67 for SL Benfica (K).

What was the final score of Rosengard (K) vs SL Benfica (K)?

Rosengard (K) 2-2 SL Benfica (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosengard (K) vs SL Benfica (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an SL Benfica (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rosengard (K) 24%, draw 29%, SL Benfica (K) 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SL Benfica (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SL Benfica (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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