Cruzeiro Arapiraca 0-2 CSA Alagoano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Alagoano, 25 Jan 2024

📅25/01/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
27%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
42%
+8.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruzeiro Arapiraca EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CSA Alagoano EU Bookmakers 37%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.00/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.66
-8% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruzeiro Arapiraca
0W-0D-3L
AWAY CSA Alagoano
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.02.2023 CSA Alagoano CSA Alagoano 1-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Arapiraca Cruzeiro Arapiraca BRALA
03.05.2022 CSA Alagoano CSA Alagoano 3-0 HT 3-0 Cruzeiro Arapiraca Cruzeiro Arapiraca BRALA
03.03.2022 CSA Alagoano CSA Alagoano 2-0 HT 1-0 Cruzeiro Arapiraca Cruzeiro Arapiraca BRALA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruzeiro Arapiraca
0-2
AWAY CSA Alagoano
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs CSA Alagoano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSA Alagoano got the better of Cruzeiro Arapiraca 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Cruzeiro Arapiraca at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cruzeiro Arapiraca had 47% of the ball to CSA Alagoano's 53%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, CSA Alagoano led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Cruzeiro Arapiraca and 2.00 for CSA Alagoano.

What was the final score of Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs CSA Alagoano?

Cruzeiro Arapiraca 0-2 CSA Alagoano in the Brazil - Alagoano on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs CSA Alagoano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro Arapiraca win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro Arapiraca 50%, draw 23%, CSA Alagoano 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cruzeiro Arapiraca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cruzeiro Arapiraca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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