Portuguesa RJ 1-0 Sampaio Correa RJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Carioca 1, 25 Jan 2024

Portuguesa RJ
1-0 HT 0-0
Sampaio Correa RJ
📅25/01/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Carioca 1 – 2024

Portuguesa RJ vs Sampaio Correa RJ Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
44%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portuguesa RJ v Sampaio Correa RJ — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa RJ EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampaio Correa RJ EU Bookmakers 40%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.19/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+0% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -49%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
290 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Portuguesa RJ 1-0 Sampaio Correa RJ — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portuguesa RJ
1-0
AWAY Sampaio Correa RJ
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Portuguesa RJ vs Sampaio Correa RJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa RJ edged past Sampaio Correa RJ 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sampaio Correa RJ at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Portuguesa RJ had 53% of the ball to Sampaio Correa RJ's 47%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Portuguesa RJ vs Sampaio Correa RJ?

Portuguesa RJ 1-0 Sampaio Correa RJ in the Brazil - Carioca 1 on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa RJ vs Sampaio Correa RJ?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sampaio Correa RJ win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa RJ 30%, draw 26%, Sampaio Correa RJ 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sampaio Correa RJ) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sampaio Correa RJ) ✓ Under 2.5
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