Estrela Do Norte 0-0 Nova Venécia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Capixaba, 25 Jan 2024

📅25/01/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.94
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
34%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
Over
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
40%
4-5
17%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
30%
+15.9pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.4pp
34%
Away Win
45%
-11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela Do Norte The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Nova Venécia The Market 49%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.00/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.37
-31% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
305 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estrela Do Norte
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Nova Venécia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 0
27.01.2023 Estrela Do Norte 1-0 HT 1-0 Nova Venécia Nova Venécia BRCAP
08.03.2022 Estrela Do Norte 1-2 HT 0-1 Nova Venécia Nova Venécia BRCAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela Do Norte
0-0
AWAY Nova Venécia
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Estrela Do Norte vs Nova Venécia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estrela Do Norte and Nova Venécia fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Estrela Do Norte at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Estrela Do Norte had 36% of the ball to Nova Venécia's 64%, shots finished 5-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Estrela Do Norte and 1.00 for Nova Venécia.

What was the final score of Estrela Do Norte vs Nova Venécia?

Estrela Do Norte 0-0 Nova Venécia in the Brazil - Capixaba on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela Do Norte vs Nova Venécia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estrela Do Norte win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Estrela Do Norte 46%, draw 20%, Nova Venécia 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Estrela Do Norte) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estrela Do Norte) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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