Operario MS 2-0 Coxim MS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Sul-Matogrossense, 25 Jan 2024

Operario MS
2-0
Coxim MS
📅25/01/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Brazil - Sul-Matogrossense – 2024

Operario MS vs Coxim MS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
67%
1.11
Draw
18%
8.78
Away
15%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
Over
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
38%
4-5
33%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Operario MS win — 67% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
67%
Home Win
86%
-18.4pp
18%
Draw
9%
+9.1pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Operario MS v Coxim MS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario MS The Market 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Coxim MS The Market 8%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.69/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/3.82
-8% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -54%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
461 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Operario MS vs Coxim MS Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Operario MS
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Coxim MS
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
The Meetings
09.03.2023 Operario MS Operario MS 3-0 HT 0-0 Coxim MS Coxim MS BRSMAT
08.02.2023 Coxim MS Coxim MS 1-4 HT 1-1 Operario MS Operario MS BRSMAT
POST-MATCH Operario MS vs Coxim MS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario MS saw off Coxim MS 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Operario MS as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Operario MS had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Operario MS and 0.50 for Coxim MS.

What was the final score of Operario MS vs Coxim MS?

Operario MS 2-0 Coxim MS in the Brazil - Sul-Matogrossense on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario MS vs Coxim MS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Operario MS win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Operario MS 67%, draw 18%, Coxim MS 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Operario MS) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Operario MS) ✗ Over 2.5
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