25/01/2024
·
20:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Douanes vs Forces Armees Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
Over
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2-3
38%
4-5
14%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
50%
Home Win
53%
24%
Draw
24%
26%
Away Win
23%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Douanes v Forces Armees — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Douanes
The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Forces Armees
The Market 26%
-30% /
-30%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
304 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
219 · 65%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Douanes vs Forces Armees
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Douanes beat Forces Armees 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Douanes as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Douanes vs Forces Armees?
Douanes 2-0 Forces Armees in the Burkina Moroccoo - 1st Division on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Douanes vs Forces Armees?
Before kick-off our model rated a Douanes win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Douanes 50%, draw 24%, Forces Armees 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Douanes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Douanes)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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BURK
More Burkina Moroccoo - 1st Division
25 Jan 2024