Dragon 2-1 Santa Tecla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 25 Jan 2024

Dragon
2-1 HT 1-1
Santa Tecla
📅25/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Dragon vs Santa Tecla Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+7.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dragon v Santa Tecla — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dragon EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Tecla EU Bookmakers 25%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
2.62/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.42
+81% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Dragon vs Santa Tecla Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dragon
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Santa Tecla
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Dragon Dragon 4-0 HT 3-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
17.09.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 0-2 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
27.04.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 2-0 HT 2-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
02.03.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-0 HT 1-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
POST-MATCH Dragon vs Santa Tecla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dragon nicked a narrow win over Santa Tecla 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dragon as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dragon had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dragon and 0.50 for Santa Tecla.

What was the final score of Dragon vs Santa Tecla?

Dragon 2-1 Santa Tecla in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dragon vs Santa Tecla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dragon win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dragon 46%, draw 24%, Santa Tecla 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dragon), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dragon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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