USV Hercules 3-4 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 25 Jan 2024

USV Hercules
3-4 HT 1-0
Cambuur
📅25/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Netherlands - KNVB Cup – 2025/2026

USV Hercules vs Cambuur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
57%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.89
Over 2.5
63%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
17%
+7.0pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.2pp
57%
Away Win
64%
-7.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
31%
+5.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
69%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

USV Hercules v Cambuur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USV Hercules EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 69%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.18
-100% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -17%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
259 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 45.0
– Crosses 31.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH USV Hercules vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur edged past USV Hercules 4-3 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cambuur as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of USV Hercules vs Cambuur?

USV Hercules 3-4 Cambuur in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USV Hercules vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split USV Hercules 24%, draw 19%, Cambuur 57%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambuur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →