Millonarios 2-0 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Super Cup, 25 Jan 2024

📅25/01/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
56%
-14.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+12.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.2pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% /
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
Crosses 9.0
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Junior
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.98 xG 0.84
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 Passes 354
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
19.01.2024 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOLSK
15.10.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
01.05.2023 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
28.11.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
10.11.2022 Junior Junior 0-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
03.11.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
2-0
AWAY Junior
1.05 xG 0.70
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
285 Passes 394
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
37 Box Touches 5
27 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios beat Junior 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Millonarios had 45% of the ball to Junior's 55%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 1.05 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Millonarios and 0.33 for Junior.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Junior?

Millonarios 2-0 Junior in the Colombia - Super Cup on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 42%, draw 28%, Junior 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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