Adelaide United (K) 1-1 Western United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 25 Jan 2025

Adelaide United (K)
1-1 HT 1-0
Western United (K)
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Adelaide United (K) vs Western United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.5pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adelaide United (K) v Western United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Western United (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.58/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.22
+39% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
11.4 Crosses 18.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0

Adelaide United (K) vs Western United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Western United (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.80 xG 1.97
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
412 Passes 262
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.01.2024 Western United (K) Western United (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW

Adelaide United (K) 1-1 Western United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adelaide United (K)
1-1
AWAY Western United (K)
0.27 xG 1.82
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
242 Passes 230
65% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 38
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Adelaide United (K) vs Western United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United (K) and Western United (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Adelaide United (K) had 51% of the ball to Western United (K)'s 49%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.27 to 1.82.

What was the final score of Adelaide United (K) vs Western United (K)?

Adelaide United (K) 1-1 Western United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United (K) vs Western United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United (K) 38%, draw 25%, Western United (K) 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adelaide United (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide United (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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