Al Thaid 1-2 Gulf United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒16:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.97
Over Pick
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
41%
4-5
23%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.3pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Thaid The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gulf United The Market 32%
-25% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.25/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.61
-23% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Thaid
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Gulf United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2024 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-1 HT 0-1 Gulf United BAE2
23.03.2024 Al Thaid Al Thaid 2-2 HT 1-0 Gulf United BAE2
05.11.2023 Gulf United 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Thaid vs Gulf United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gulf United edged past Al Thaid 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Al Thaid at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Thaid had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Thaid and 1.00 for Gulf United.

What was the final score of Al Thaid vs Gulf United?

Al Thaid 1-2 Gulf United in the UAE - 1st Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Thaid vs Gulf United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Thaid win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Thaid 44%, draw 21%, Gulf United 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Thaid) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Thaid) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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