25/01/2025
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
USM El Harrach vs US Souf Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
80%
19%
Draw
13%
14%
Away Win
7%
49%
Under 2.5
44%
51%
Over 2.5
56%
34%
BTTS Yes
28%
66%
BTTS No
72%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
USM El Harrach v US Souf — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
USM El Harrach
EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY
US Souf
EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% /
+3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+2% /
+2%
2.13/0.14
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/2.21
+8%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+78%
/
-22%
60%
Ball Possession
40%
15
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Target
2
8
Corners
3
479 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
256 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
2.9
POST-MATCH
USM El Harrach vs US Souf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
USM El Harrach saw off US Souf 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had USM El Harrach as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.
What was the final score of USM El Harrach vs US Souf?
USM El Harrach 2-0 US Souf in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for USM El Harrach vs US Souf?
Before kick-off our model rated a USM El Harrach win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split USM El Harrach 67%, draw 19%, US Souf 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM El Harrach), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (USM El Harrach)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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25 Jan 2025